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(RE)ACTIONS OF THE EARTH SYSTEM: correlation analysis in a regime of passive stability of the surroundings
Organization(s):EEEMTI PROFESSOR ALEJANDRO YAGUE MAYOR
Country:Brazil
Student(s):Ingryd Frederico Oliveira (Student, Escola Estadual de Ensino em Tempo Integral Professor Alejandro Yague Mayor |Avenida Aracajú, 3780, Jorge Teixeira, 76912-645, Ji-Paraná/RO | 570212@aluno.seduc.ro.gov.br)
Cauan Barros Da Rocha (Student, Escola Estadual de Ensino em Tempo Integral Professor Alejandro Yague Mayor | Avenida Aracajú, 3780, Jorge Teixeira, 76912-645, Ji-Paraná/RO | 569975@aluno.seduc.ro.gov.br)
Grade Level:Secondary School (grades 9-12, ages 14-18)
GLOBE Member(s):Sidnei Pereira Oliveira
Contributors:Aline Veloso (SPO, Setor Policial, Área 5 Quadra 3 BL A, SHCS, Agência Espacial Brasileira – AEB, Brasília /DF alineveloso@aeb.br)
Mariana Rodrigues de Almeida (Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Campus Universitário - Lagoa Nova, Natal - RN, 59078-970 almeidamariana@yahoo.com)
Enaile Maria de Moraes Oliveira (Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Campus Universitário - Lagoa Nova, Natal - RN, 59078-970 enaile.oliveira.038@ufrn.edu.br)
Ines Maria Mauad de Sousa Andrade (Escola Minas Gerais – Rio de Janeiro /RN inmauad@gmail.com)
Report Type(s):Virtual Science Symposium Report, Mission Mosquito Report
Protocols:Earth As a System, Precipitation, Air Temperature, Mosquitoes
Presentation Video:
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Presentation Poster:
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Language(s):English
Date Submitted:2026-01-30
Ji-Paraná (RO) faces a dengue alert with the reintroduction of DENV-3, highlighting the need for simple local metrics. We investigated the correlation between temperature and precipitation with larval infestation (Mosquito Habitat Mapper - MHM protocol) and atmospheric series (INMET, NASA). In nine neighborhoods, we monitored weekly for five weeks (07/09–11/10/2025). We detected 86 larvae, with a peak in Week 3 (29 larvae) under 37.20 mm of rain. There was a moderate positive association between rain and larvae (r = 0.52) and a moderate negative association between average temperature and larvae (r = −0.63), indicating an optimal thermal window for the vector/virus. We conclude that MHM + INMET/NASA is viable as a local weekly indicator for post-rain blockades, risk communication, and educational actions. We recommend extending the series, increasing the sample size, testing for lags, and modeling nonlinearities. The mentorship was crucial for the quality and scalability of the model.